Make Cents of Adsense: Re: STOCK RECOMMENDATION

Saturday, December 31, 2011

Re: STOCK RECOMMENDATION

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On Dec 31, 2:04 am, Smart Profit <smartprofit.sto...@gmail.com> wrote:
> STOCK RECOMMENDATION
> SELL BAJAJ AUTO (532977)
>
> CMP: 1591
> Target: 1100
> Bajaj Auto sales have dropped on M-o-M basis. In an interview on CNBC,
> Rajiv Bajaj, MD, Bajaj Auto stating that it was expected post festive
> season and other factors like rising interest rate and petrol rise is
> the reason in slowdown in sales. But if you compare Bajaj auto with
> its competitors like Honda, Hero MotoCorp, Yamaha and Suzuki whose
> sales have increased tremendously on M-o-M basis in the same period.
> With the introduction of new variant like CBR150 by Honda, Impulse by
> Hero MotoCorp and R15 by Yamaha will have an adverse effect on the
> Bajaj premium bikes. Honda has increased its production capacity due
> to Alwar plant and its further increasing its capacity to 3.5 lacs due
> to setting up a Karnataka plant by Oct 2012. With decrease in waiting
> period of Honda's unicorn and Shine will give a stiff competition to
> discover and pulsar. It is on the verge of launching a new cheapest
> 110cc bike ever worth Rs.27, 700 in Indian domestic market by Jan,
> 2012. Italian based Piaggio is also penetrating in the two-wheeler
> segments with attractive variations of bikes by January 2012.This will
> have a direct impact leading to a price war within the two-wheeler
> bikes in this segment. On an export front, Bajaj auto is getting hit
> by Hero MotoCorp, as it is setting up a 100% export plant in Sanand
> Gujarat and Honda, through its China plant has introduced its new
> variant Honda Ace125cc (pricing 31,000 INR) in Nigerian and South
> African market. Hero MotoCorp on the other hand, has initiated its
> distribution network in all the 11 countries where Bajaj is exporting.
> In three-wheeler segment Hero MotoCorp is coming in a very big way and
> Piaggio is increasing its capacity by 40%. According to the sources,
> LIC and Citi group have also recommended a sell on Bajaj Auto. Within
> a year 11 new models is going to launch in this segment having an
> adverse effect on the old model of Bajaj and TVS.
> In the current market the most preferred brand of two-wheelers is
> Honda which will replace Bajaj's 2nd position by December 2011 & by
> March -12, Bajaj will downgrade to 4th position giving its way to TVS
> in Indian market.
> Considering this entire factor, we recommended a STRONG SELL on Bajaj
> auto with a target price of Rs 1100.
>
> BUY FIRSTSOURCE SOLUTION (532809)
> CMP: 6
> Target: 25 in 9 months.
>
> Formerly known as ICICI OneSource, incorporated in 2001, Firstsource
> Solutions Limited provides a range of business process outsourcing
> services.
> It offers business process management services to the banking,
> financial services and insurance (BFSI); telecommunications and media;
> and healthcare industries. Firstsource has a "rightshore" delivery
> model with operations in India, U.S., UK and Philippines.
>
> INVESTMENT VIEW:-
> Firstsource Recognized with Top Honors at the International Quality
> and Productivity Council (IQPC) Conference.
> Leadership position in the healthcare industry.
> About 40% of the revenue comes from its healthcare vertical catering
> mainly to US markets.
> The Company works with more than 1000 clients. 7 of the top 10 clients
> have grown during the quarter.
> The current Employee Strength is 29,664 and further increasing its
> strength by 3000.
> Depreciation in Rupee from 44 to 52 will increase the profitability of
> the company.
> The company is expected to sell out one of its subsidiary company
> worth Rs 1600cr.
>
> The company has repurchased zero coupon convertible bonds worth `99.7
> crore ($19.1 million). The buyback will bring down its outstanding
> foreign currency convertible bonds from the current `993 crore ($191
> million) to `894 crore ($172 million).Quarter by Quarter it will
> repurchase the remaining FCCB bonds and its liability will be zero by
> 2012.
>
> With P/E of 22 and considering the strong performance both on revenues
> and profitability it will be a cash rich company within a year. Hence,
> we recommend a strong BUY on FSL at CMP Rs.6 with a target price of Rs.
> 25 within 9 months.
>
> BUY NATIONAL HYDRO POWER CORPORATION (533098)
> CMP: 18
> Target: 40 in 6 months
> National Hydro Power Corporation, an entity of Government of India, is
> country's largest hydro power producer.
> NHPC is currently having an installed capacity of more than 5,300 MW
> with 14 operational power stations and has a cash surplus of over Rs.
> 4,000 crore.
> National Hydroelectric Power Corporation (NHPC) has reported a net
> profit of Rs 966 crore in the second quarter of FY12, a growth of 40%
> as compared to Rs 690 crore in the corresponding quarter of last
> fiscal.
> Net sales jumped 47.66% to Rs 1,831 crore in the July-September period
> of 2011 versus Rs 1,240 crore in same quarter the previous year.
> The second quarter is a seasonally favorable quarter which contributes
> bulk of full-year earnings.
> Total revenue shot up 54% to Rs 1,981.5 crore from Rs 1,282.6 crore Y-
> o-Y.
> Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA)
> rose 35% to Rs 1,416 crore from Rs 1,049 crore during the same period.
> The state-run major is engaged in the construction of 10 projects at
> various locations in the country, going to have an additional capacity
> of 4,502 MW. It is planning to develop two hydro projects in Myanmar.
> It plans to increase the capacity to over 10,000 MW by end of 2012.
> The coal price has risen, which will force to increase in power price
> by 26%. This will further boost the profit margin of NHPC to a large
> extent.
> Spanning on Government's increasing emphasis on hydro power and NHPC's
> strong hold, we recommend a BUY on NHPC at CMP of Rs 18, with a target
> of Rs.40 in 6 months and Rs 90 in 2 years.
>
> DISCLAIMER:- Smart Profit has taken due care and caution in
> compilation of data for its reports. The market view and investment
> tips expressed on Smart Profit are in no way a guarantee either
> express or implied. However, Smart Profit does not guarantee the
> accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any information and is not
> responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained
> from the use of such information. CEO, Directors and staff may have a
> position in the recommended stock.
>
> FOR FURTHER DETAILS CONTACT:-
> SUMAN JAIN
> (CEO)
> +919820041126
> Email: sumanj...@smartprofit.in
>
> DIPAK MANGELA
> (Research Analyst)
> +919820260291
> Email: dipak.mang...@smartprofit.in
>
> SHAILESH GOWDA
> (Sr. Executive)
> +919967394114
> Email: shailesh.go...@smartprofit.in
>
> MANSINGH RAI
> (Sr. Executive)
> +919320907684
> Email: mansingh....@smartprofit.in